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Wafer factory "bargains for orders"? Insiders: It's not so exaggerated that there is no need for drastic price reduction at present. Recently, some industry media reported that the Chinese mainland wafer foundry has overflowed its capacity and is striving for more IC design factory orders to return at a low price discount. A manager of Chinese mainland Head Wafer Factory told reporters that the actual situation was "not as serious as reported by the media, and not so exaggerated". The source said that since the fourth quarter of this year, the quotation of its wafer factory has been "stable at present". In the fourth quarter, product orders from display drivers, power management and other categories were "not bad", and the market demand was similar to that previously publicly disclosed. The independent control of the mainland market is still the main theme. It is understood that the fourth quarter is usually the "off-season" of the wafer foundry industry, and downstream customers will review the sales plan at the beginning of the year, and they are not willing to stock up and receive goods. A person from a consumer chip company in Chinese mainland said, "Fab factories generally adjust prices according to market supply and demand." Yang Shengxin, a senior analyst of Sigmaintell's semiconductor business unit, said in an interview that according to the observation of Sigma Intell, Chinese mainland's wafer factory decreased by about 5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, and concentrated on 12-inch products; The price of China Taiwan Province Wafer Factory has not changed significantly. (science and technology innovation board Daily)Moody's: It is expected that France's public finances will be greatly weakened in the next few years.Jiang Xiaojuan argued with European experts that your subsidy for electric vehicles is higher than that of China. Jiang Xiaojuan, a professor at the University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the annual financial conference in 2025 that his three visits to Europe last year were all about tariff disputes on electric vehicles. "I calculate the figures particularly carefully. In 2009, the subsidies were fully launched. At that time, we didn't have an electric vehicle to export. The subsidies were not for export, but for electric vehicles and fuel vehicles to compete in the domestic market. In 2016, our exports began to increase, but subsidies also declined rapidly. Therefore, it cannot be said that the competitiveness of electric vehicles in China comes from subsidies, "she said. Even Jiang Xiaojuan calculated the European subsidy data, saying, "Buying a Tesla costs 7,000 to 9,000 euros, which is higher than our subsidy". "My reason is particularly good. I said that we are not exporting. We are competing with domestic fuel vehicles. Your subsidies are more. Why do you say me?" Jiang Xiaojuan said, "Those scholars can't help it, because these are solid data. In the end, they said that regardless of the willy-nilly, our domestic industry was hit too hard and politically unacceptable.". (Rui Jian)

The construction of a new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. From December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing. The meeting emphasized "stabilizing the property market and stock market". Specific to the key tasks to be done next year, the meeting made it clear that "the real estate market will continue to exert efforts to stop falling and stabilize" and "promote the construction of a new model of real estate development". Experts interviewed generally believe that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the property market and further clarify the policy direction of the real estate sector next year. In 2025, relevant policies to promote the stabilization of the real estate market will continue to exert their strength, and the construction of basic systems related to the new model of real estate development is expected to make positive progress. (Securities Daily)In November, the growth rate of new loans was 580 billion yuan, and the growth rate of housing loans rebounded. According to the November credit data released by the People's Bank of China yesterday, the financing demand of the real economy continued to show a marginal improvement trend under the continuous effect of a package of incremental policies. In the month, RMB loans increased by 580 billion yuan, and personal mortgages stabilized and rebounded. In the month, medium and long-term loans of households increased by 300 billion yuan, a significant increase from the previous month. The change of residents' medium and long-term loans is closely related to residents' willingness to buy houses. In November, the medium and long-term loans of residents improved significantly compared with October, mainly because personal loans stabilized and rebounded, which confirmed each other with the marginal improvement of real estate market transactions in that month. In November, the year-on-year growth rate of commercial housing transaction area in 30 large and medium-sized cities turned from negative to positive, and the transaction has remained relatively active since December. The reporter learned from the central bank that with the gradual effectiveness of the package of incremental policies to stabilize the real estate market, the phenomenon of early repayment of personal mortgages has been significantly reduced, and the growth rate of housing loans has recently picked up. In October this year, the amount of personal mortgage loans exceeded 400 billion yuan, and the amount of early repayment decreased. The proportion of early repayment in the balance of personal housing loans was significantly lower than that before the introduction of a package of incremental policies.Zhongjin's fixed income: the financing demand is weak under the background of debt conversion, and the monetary policy needs to continue to increase. Zhongjin's fixed income commented on the financial data in November, saying that it is expected that the currency will be loose or significantly accelerated next year, while the short-term interest rate may have a large downside. Under the background of slow real estate recovery, the domestic economy has stabilized relatively moderately, and the long-term interest rate has been affected or relatively limited. Next year, monetary and fiscal cooperation will be closer, and the supply factor of government bonds may not have much disturbance to the long end. Recently, the market has fully priced loose expectations, and the long-term interest rate has dropped rapidly. Next year, with the RRR cut, the short-term interest rate will fall or accelerate, and the yield curve will move down sharply.

Moody's: Downgrading France's sovereign credit rating to Aa3, the outlook is stable. Ning Gaoning: Electric vehicles are an industry that will lead the development of China in the future. The global market is very envious. Ning Gaoning, the 13th member of the Standing Committee of Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and former party secretary and chairman of China Sinochem Holdings Co., Ltd., mentioned at the annual meeting of Chinese business leaders that China may become a sustainable country after China is a manufacturing power. "There are many volumes of electric vehicles in China and how much competition there is. In fact, in the whole global market, everyone has brought great envy to electric vehicles in China, including a vision for the future, which is the industry that will lead the development of China in the future." (Rui Jian)